Comparative study of mortality prediction models from (SARS) associated with COVID-19 in Brazil

Authors

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.35699/2965-6931.2023.47705

Keywords:

predictive models, logistic regression, COVID-19

Abstract

Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome 2 (SARS-CoV-2) comprises one of the complications triggered by the new coronavirus. This study aims to propose a comparison between two machine learning-based models in different contexts to predict mortality in cases of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS) caused by the 2019 coronavirus, COVID-19. The data used are available on the DataSUS platform and cover the period from January 2021 to December 2022. Consequently, a descriptive statistical analysis, variable selection, and the development of two models were carried out, one before the milestone of the second dose of COVID-19 vaccination and another after. Regarding the metrics, model 1 presented an accuracy of 71.8%, while model 2 achieved an accuracy of 80%, thus contributing to the decision-making process for tackling the disease.

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Author Biographies

Luciana Balieiro Cosme, Instituto Federal do Norte de Minas Gerais (IFNMG)

Atualmente é professora do Instituto Federal de Educação, Ciência e Tecnologia do Norte de Minas Gerais (IFNMG) Campus Montes Claros, com mestrado e doutorado em Engenharia Elétrica pela Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais (UFMG). Tem experiência profissional em desenvolvimento de sistemas. Atua principalmente com pesquisas nas áreas de sistemas nebulosos, otimização e linguagens de programação.

André Vinícius Barros, Instituto Federal do Norte de Minas Gerais (IFNMG)

Estudante de Ciencia da Computação pelo IFNMG, Instituto Federal do Norte de Minas Gerais - Campus Montes Claros, atuando em monitorias, projetos de pesquisa, ensino e iniciação científica durante a faculdade. Atualmente é cientista de dados como foco em análise de dados e modelagem de dados.

Instagram: https://instagram.com/mb.andrevinicius

Victor Hugo Dantas Guimarães, Instituto Federal do Norte de Minas Gerais (IFNMG)

Doutorando no Programa de Pós Graduação em Ciências da Saúde - PPGCS, Universidade Estadual de Montes Claros (Unimontes). Atualmente desenvolve atividades na área toxicológica de produtos naturais, bem como avaliações comportamentais (open field), atividade anti-inflamatória e cicatricial de espécies nativas do Cerrado com abordagem pré-clinica e clínica.

Instagram: https://instagram.com/guimaraes.vhd

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Published

2024-05-07

How to Cite

COSME, L. B.; BARROS, A. V.; GUIMARÃES, V. H. D. Comparative study of mortality prediction models from (SARS) associated with COVID-19 in Brazil. Revista da Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais, Belo Horizonte, v. 30, n. fluxo contínuo, 2024. DOI: 10.35699/2965-6931.2023.47705. Disponível em: https://periodicos.ufmg.br/index.php/revistadaufmg/article/view/47705. Acesso em: 26 jun. 2024.